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Deportivo ITA W vs Libertad Limpeno W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Pena N.
55' Event
Sandoval F.
66' Event
Garay G.

AI Match Summary

Libertad Limpeno W in this Copa Libertadores Women 2017 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Deportivo ITA W
6%
Draws
90%
Libertad Limpeno W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Libertad Limpeno W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Libertad Limpeno W have won more games recently than Deportivo ITA W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Libertad Limpeno W taking it.
  • Libertad Limpeno W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad Limpeno W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo ITA W Clean Sheet 10%
Libertad Limpeno W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo ITA W Libertad Limpeno W
Matches Played 6 27
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 4 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2017 Copa Libertadores Women
Deportivo ITA W vs Libertad Limpeno W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo ITA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Libertad Limpeno W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrea L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pena N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo ITA W 10 / 100
Libertad Limpeno W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo ITA W Libertad Limpeno W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo ITA W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (6 games).

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Libertad Limpeno W let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Away concern: Libertad Limpeno W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo ITA W VS Libertad Limpeno W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo ITA W

(Home)
26 Nov
Deportivo ITA W
2 : 4
Colo Colo W
24 Nov
Santos W
6 : 0
Deportivo ITA W
21 Nov
Sport Girls W
3 : 2
Deportivo ITA W
17 Oct
Deportivo ITA W
1 : 6
Libertad Limpeno W
14 Oct
Osasco Audax W
6 : 1
Deportivo ITA W
Page 1 of 2

Libertad Limpeno W

(Away)
12 Oct
Colo Colo W
1 : 0
Libertad Limpeno W
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
06 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
U. De Chile W
03 Oct
Dep. Cali W
1 : 1
Libertad Limpeno W
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
1 : 3
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate W32104:27
2U. Espanola W31205:35
3Estudiantes de Guarico W31113:24
4Deportivo Capiata W30032:70
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo W321012:57
2Cerro Porteno W32107:37
3Universitario de Deportes W31022:83
4Colon W30033:80
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osasco Audax W330010:29
2Indep. Santa Fe W311112:64
3Libertad Limpeno W31118:54
4Deportivo ITA W30034:210
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams