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Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo La Guaira host Carabobo in the Liga FUTVE. This one's hard to separate. Deportivo La Guaira have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Carabobo's 1.46 scored and 0.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Deportivo La Guaira have won 0 to Carabobo's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.69) back Carabobo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Deportivo La Guaira
30%
Draws
51%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Carabobo have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 13%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Carabobo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
3:1
Sep 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:0
Apr 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 31 / 100
Carabobo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabobo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo La Guaira scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Deportivo La Guaira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Carabobo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Carabobo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0
Aragua
17 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Trujillanos
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
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Carabobo

(Away)
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Portuguesa
1 : 3
Carabobo
21 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 1
Mineros
17 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 2
Dep. Tachira
11 Oct
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 1
Carabobo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Metropolitanos 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
3 Deportivo La Guaira 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
4 Portuguesa 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Caracas 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Monagas 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)