Sport Picks

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Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Paredes J.
(Penalty)
26'
Caceres F.
28'
Meza J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Deportivo La Guaira and Carabobo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Deportivo La Guaira
6%
Draws
90%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira haven't matched Carabobo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Carabobo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 18%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Carabobo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 14 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100
Carabobo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo La Guaira scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Carabobo conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo La Guaira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Carabobo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
31 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
23 May
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
15 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 0
Universidad Central
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Carabobo

(Away)
07 Jun
Carabobo
2 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
31 May
Metropolitanos
1 : 5
Carabobo
28 May
Bragantino
2 : 0
Carabobo
24 May
Carabobo
1 : 1
Dep. Tachira
22 May
Blooming
0 : 2
Carabobo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)