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Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Montana C.
19'
Orihuela M.
21'
Herrera J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Deportivo La Guaira and Portuguesa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Deportivo La Guaira
35%
Draws
24%
Portuguesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo La Guaira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo La Guaira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 68%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Portuguesa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 13
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:2
May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
1:1
Apr 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 77 / 100
Portuguesa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Portuguesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo La Guaira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo La Guaira found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Portuguesa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo La Guaira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Portuguesa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
01 Nov
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Portuguesa
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0
Aragua
17 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Trujillanos
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Portuguesa

(Away)
01 Nov
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Portuguesa
28 Oct
Metropolitanos
0 : 0
Portuguesa
25 Oct
Portuguesa
1 : 3
Carabobo
21 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Zamora
18 Oct
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Portuguesa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Metropolitanos 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
3 Deportivo La Guaira 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
4 Portuguesa 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Caracas 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
4 Monagas 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)