Sport Picks
Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn 
Match Events
25'
25'
Gauna S.
Assist: Almada T.
38'
38'
Sub
Calleros Y. In: Silba L.
Out: Calleros Y.
41'
41'
Ayala R.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Madryn and Almirante Brown finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Madryn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Almirante Brown have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Deportivo Madryn are scoring more at 1.25.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Deportivo Madryn have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 24%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
5:1
Jun 2, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
0:1
Jun 26, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Madryn Compare
Top Goalscorer Servetto N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silba L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Almirante Brown Compare
Top Goalscorer Gauna S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Madryn 37 / 100
Almirante Brown 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Madryn Almirante Brown
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportivo Madryn scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Deportivo Madryn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Almirante Brown has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Madryn VS Almirante Brown
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Madryn
(Home) 11 Jul
Deportivo Moron
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
07 Jun
San Telmo
0 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
31 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Acassuso
17 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 1 Ferro
Page 1 of 3
Almirante Brown
(Away) 11 Jul
All Boys
1 : 1 Almirante Brown
04 Jul
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Los Andes
21 Jun
Almirante Brown
3 : 1 CA Mitre
14 Jun
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Godoy Cruz
07 Jun
Deportivo Moron
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
All Boys
1 : 1 Almirante Brown
07 Jun
Deportivo Moron
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
23 May
San Miguel
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
10 May
Acassuso
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
28 Apr
Ferro
0 : 1 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 23:14 | 40 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27:15 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29:19 | 35 |
| 4 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19:8 | 32 |
| 5 | Ciudad Bolivar | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 19:16 | 30 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 18:16 | 30 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 15:13 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 10 | San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 13 | All Boys | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 13:20 | 21 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 15 | Acassuso | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | 19 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12:21 | 19 |
| 17 | CA Mitre | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19:27 | 18 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17:26 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:22 | 38 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 36 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17:11 | 33 |
| 4 | Temperley | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 19:17 | 31 |
| 5 | Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21:15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:15 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:21 | 28 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15:16 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:17 | 25 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16:22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16:21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13:17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14:24 | 19 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
