Sport Picks
Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado
Argentina
Primera Nacional 2025 Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn 
Match Events
33'
33'
Gorgerino C.
35'
35'
Perez B.
(Penalty)
38'
38'
Ortale M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional 2025 game between Deportivo Madryn and Alvarado finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Madryn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alvarado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Madryn come out ahead of Alvarado on wins alone.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Alvarado taking it.
- Regular Primera Nacional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 16%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado
1:0
May 11, 2025 Primera Nacional
Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn
0:2
Aug 7, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado
1:1
Jun 2, 2019 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn
4:2
May 26, 2019 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Madryn 19 / 100
Alvarado 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Madryn Alvarado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Madryn's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Deportivo Madryn remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Alvarado conceded in 33% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Madryn VS Alvarado
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Madryn
(Home) 26 Jul
Los Andes
0 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
11 Jul
Deportivo Moron
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
31 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Acassuso
17 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 1 Ferro
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Alvarado
(Away) 11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
28 Jun
Villa Mitre
1 : 0 Alvarado
20 Jun
Alvarado
1 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
14 Jun
Kimberley
2 : 2 Alvarado
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
28 Jun
Villa Mitre
1 : 0 Alvarado
14 Jun
Kimberley
2 : 2 Alvarado
31 May
Guillermo Brown
0 : 0 Alvarado
03 May
Germinal
1 : 0 Alvarado
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 47 |
| 10 | All Boys | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 26:25 | 41 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | 41 |
| 13 | Los Andes | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:31 | 40 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | 40 |
| 15 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | 33 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 35:18 | 63 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:22 | 60 |
| 3 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 41:22 | 59 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 36:19 | 58 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 36:20 | 57 |
| 6 | Temperley | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 30:22 | 55 |
| 7 | Agropecuario | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 43:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 34:26 | 53 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 37:29 | 49 |
| 10 | Defensores de Belgrano | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 30:26 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 27:33 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31:42 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:31 | 40 |
| 14 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 27:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 22:39 | 32 |
| 17 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 17:40 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 17:52 | 21 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
