Sport Picks
Deportivo Madryn vs Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn 
Match Events
11'
11'
Silba L.
Assist: Solis N.
35'
35'
Perez I.
37'
37'
Benitez A.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Madryn in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Madryn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportivo Madryn lately — more wins on the board than Defensores de Belgrano.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Deportivo Madryn have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Defensores de Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Defensores de Belgrano
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:0
Apr 15, 2024 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
2:3
Mar 5, 2022 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Madryn Compare
Top Goalscorer Silba L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montagna E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Defensores de Belgrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciccolini L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Madryn 41 / 100
Defensores de Belgrano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Madryn Defensores de Belgrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Madryn found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Deportivo Madryn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensores de Belgrano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Madryn VS Defensores de Belgrano
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Madryn
(Home) 26 Jul
Los Andes
0 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
11 Jul
Deportivo Moron
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
31 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Acassuso
17 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 1 Ferro
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Belgrano
(Away) 26 Jul
All Boys
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
12 Jul
Godoy Cruz
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
04 Jul
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Moron
21 Jun
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1 All Boys
13 Jun
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 3 Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
All Boys
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
12 Jul
Godoy Cruz
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
06 Jun
San Miguel
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
24 May
Acassuso
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
11 May
Ferro
2 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:19 | 38 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ciudad Bolivar | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 21:17 | 34 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 19:8 | 33 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 15:13 | 32 |
| 7 | Godoy Cruz | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 19:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Madryn | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 27 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 17:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 14:18 | 24 |
| 13 | All Boys | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13:20 | 23 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 20:27 | 22 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17:23 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15:23 | 20 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 18 | Central Norte | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13:23 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 26:18 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18:11 | 36 |
| 5 | Midland | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 22:15 | 33 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16:18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:21 | 28 |
| 10 | Almagro | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:23 | 28 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J. | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | 26 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18:19 | 26 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 17 | Patronato | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13:18 | 22 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:36 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
