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Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Deportivo Maritimo Logo

Deportivo Maritimo

4 - 0
FT
Minerva Logo

Minerva

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Benneoui M.
23' Event
Rivas D.
44' Event
Cortado S.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Maritimo and Minerva finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Deportivo Maritimo
15%
Draws
53%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Minerva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Maritimo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 20%
Minerva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maritimo Minerva
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva
0:1
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva
4:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Deportivo Maritimo
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Deportivo Maritimo
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Benneoui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Minerva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maritimo 42 / 100
Minerva 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maritimo Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maritimo found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Minerva let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Deportivo Maritimo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maritimo VS Minerva
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maritimo

(Home)
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
26 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 7

Minerva

(Away)
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0
Molinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)