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Deportivo Metalurgico vs Juventud de Bernal

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Valenzuela A.
84' Event
Mendieta M. B.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Metalurgico in this Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Metalurgico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportivo Metalurgico
6%
Draws
4%
Juventud de Bernal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Metalurgico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Metalurgico have won more games recently than Juventud de Bernal.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Metalurgico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Metalurgico have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Metalurgico Juventud de Bernal
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:5
Sep 21, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Juventud de Bernal
2:0
Aug 27, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Juventud de Bernal
4:2
Apr 13, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Metalurgico
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Metalurgico Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenzuela A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendieta M. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Juventud de Bernal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Metalurgico 95 / 100
Juventud de Bernal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Metalurgico Juventud de Bernal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Juventud de Bernal conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Metalurgico scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Deportivo Metalurgico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Metalurgico VS Juventud de Bernal
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Metalurgico

(Home)
12 Jul
Atletico Pilar
1 : 1
Deportivo Metalurgico
04 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Social Atletico Television
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
21 Jun
Deportivo Metalurgico
0 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
12 Jun
Defensores de Glew
1 : 2
Deportivo Metalurgico
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Juventud de Bernal

(Away)
14 Jul
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 4
Provincial
06 Jul
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
20 Jun
Social Atletico Television
1 : 0
Juventud de Bernal
13 Jun
Atletico Pilar
3 : 0
Juventud de Bernal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ezeiza1062216:520
2Social Atletico Television1062213:720
3Defensores de Glew1052323:1217
4Belgrano Zarate102627:1112
5Estrella de Berisso102177:167
6Atletico Pilar101364:196
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Metalurgico1062214:420
2Barrancas1053211:1218
3Nautico Hacoaj1052317:617
4Everton La Plata1032511:1011
5Provincial102357:209
6Juventud de Bernal102269:178
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)