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Deportivo Nacional vs Atl. Deportivo

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor game between Deportivo Nacional and Atl. Deportivo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportivo Nacional
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Nacional taking it.
  • Regular Division di Honor form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Nacional Atl. Deportivo
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 19 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 6 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 6.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Division di Honor
Atl. Deportivo vs Deportivo Nacional
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Atl. Deportivo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Nacional 83 / 100
Atl. Deportivo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Nacional Atl. Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Nacional scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Atl. Deportivo has conceded goals in 95% of their last 20 outings.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Nacional stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Nacional VS Atl. Deportivo
6 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Nacional

(Home)
13 Jun
Deportivo Nacional
2 : 1
Caiquetio
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
17 May
Deportivo Nacional
4 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
Page 1 of 7

Atl. Deportivo

(Away)
31 May
Estudiantes
3 : 2
Atl. Deportivo
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
18 May
Real Koyari
1 : 5
Atl. Deportivo
10 May
Atl. Deportivo
1 : 3
FC San Nicolaas
04 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 1
Caravel
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Nacional10100056:1130
2Caravel1061322:2019
3FC San Nicolaas1041523:2913
4Atl. Deportivo1040621:1712
5Estudiantes1030720:339
6Real Koyari1020811:436
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caiquetio1055018:620
2River Plate1053228:1818
3Estrella1052323:2317
4Brazil Juniors1034316:1513
5Jong Aruba1034319:1613
6Unistars1000107:330
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation - Play Offs)