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Deportivo Pereira W vs Deportes Tolima W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Villegas V.
(Penalty)
20'
Cuadros L.
46'
Sub
Villegas V. In: Rojas V.
Out: Villegas V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2023 game between Deportivo Pereira W and Deportes Tolima W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Pereira W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Deportivo Pereira W
11%
Draws
9%
Deportes Tolima W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Deportivo Pereira W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Pereira W come out ahead of Deportes Tolima W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Deportivo Pereira W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Deportivo Pereira W Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Tolima W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Pereira W Deportes Tolima W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Liga Women
Deportivo Pereira W vs Deportes Tolima W
2:1
Apr 10, 2022 Liga Women
Deportes Tolima W vs Deportivo Pereira W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Pereira W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportes Tolima W Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Pereira W 86 / 100
Deportes Tolima W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Pereira W Deportes Tolima W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Tolima W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Deportes Tolima W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Pereira W scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Pereira W VS Deportes Tolima W
1 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Pereira W

(Home)
08 Jun
Real Santander W
1 : 2
Deportivo Pereira W
04 Jun
Deportivo Pereira W
1 : 3
Inter Bogotá W
26 May
Inter Palmira W
2 : 1
Deportivo Pereira W
19 May
Deportivo Pereira W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
11 May
Atl. Nacional W
6 : 0
Deportivo Pereira W
Page 1 of 7

Deportes Tolima W

(Away)
23 May
Deportes Tolima W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
17 May
Millonarios W
5 : 1
Deportes Tolima W
13 May
Deportes Tolima W
1 : 2
Dep. Pasto W
06 May
Real Santander W
2 : 1
Deportes Tolima W
25 Apr
Deportes Tolima W
1 : 3
Chico W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Cali W16131243:840
2Indep. Santa Fe W16105133:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1686228:930
4Deportivo Pereira W1685328:2029
5Dep. Cali W1676324:1827
6Ind. Medellin W1683525:2027
7Inter Palmira W1674520:1325
8Inter Bogotá W1672728:2023
9Llaneros W1671821:2322
10Millonarios W1664623:2122
11Junior W1656517:1221
12Chico W1648413:1520
13Huila W1655615:2120
14Real Santander W1634913:2913
15Dep. Pasto W16331011:3412
16Bucaramanga W1613129:416
17Deportes Tolima W16021411:462
Promotion - Liga Women 2023 (Play Offs)