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Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Watson N.
31'
Bruera F.
53'
Insua R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Deportivo Riestra and Barracas Central finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barracas Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Deportivo Riestra
35%
Draws
32%
Barracas Central
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Barracas Central carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Riestra's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 68%
Barracas Central Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Riestra Barracas Central
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.69 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Profesional
Barracas Central vs Deportivo Riestra
1:1
Nov 24, 2025 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barracas Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Maroni G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Riestra 46 / 100
Barracas Central 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Riestra Barracas Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barracas Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Deportivo Riestra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Deportivo Riestra found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Riestra VS Barracas Central
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Riestra

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
29 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
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Barracas Central

(Away)
21 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
14 Sept
Banfield
1 : 1
Barracas Central
07 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0
Barracas Central
27 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 1
Barracas Central
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)