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Deportivo Riestra vs Defensa y Justicia

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Botta R.
Assist: Molinas A.
32'
Mino F.
33'
Monje P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Deportivo Riestra and Defensa y Justicia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensa y Justicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportivo Riestra
6%
Draws
4%
Defensa y Justicia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Riestra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Defensa y Justicia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Deportivo Riestra a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 68%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Riestra Defensa y Justicia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Defensa y Justicia
0:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Defensa y Justicia
1:1
Nov 18, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
1:1
Feb 26, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Botta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Riestra 95 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Riestra Defensa y Justicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensa y Justicia let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Deportivo Riestra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Defensa y Justicia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Riestra VS Defensa y Justicia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Riestra

(Home)
26 Jul
Deportivo Riestra
3 : 0
Boca Juniors
17 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 2
Deportivo Riestra
26 May
Palestino
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
19 May
Montevideo City
4 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
05 May
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

Defensa y Justicia

(Away)
24 Jul
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1
Aldosivi
16 Jul
Racing Club
4 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
23 Apr
Defensa y Justicia
0 : 4
Boca Juniors
18 Apr
Independiente
3 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)