Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Wagner Leonardo
25'
Sub
Wagner Leonardo In: Balbuena F.
Out: Wagner Leonardo
30' Event
Carlos Vinicius
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Copa Sudamericana game between Deportivo Riestra and Gremio finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Deportivo Riestra
28%
Draws
50%
Gremio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gremio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gremio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gremio a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 14%
Gremio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Riestra Gremio
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio
0:3
Apr 14, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Gremio vs Deportivo Riestra
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Amuzu F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Braithwaite M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Riestra 23 / 100
Gremio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Riestra Gremio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Deportivo Riestra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gremio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Riestra found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Riestra VS Gremio
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171