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Deportivo Rincon vs Fundacion Amigos

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Rincon play Fundacion Amigos in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Rincon averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Fundacion Amigos averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Rincon won 0, Fundacion Amigos won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Deportivo Rincon and 1.19 for Fundacion Amigos. This points to a Fundacion Amigos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Deportivo Rincon
32%
Draws
35%
Fundacion Amigos
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Fundacion Amigos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Rincon picked up more points recently compared to Fundacion Amigos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 20%
Fundacion Amigos Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Rincon Fundacion Amigos
Matches Played 27 14
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.96 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Fundacion Amigos
0:0
Mar 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Rincon 34 / 100
Fundacion Amigos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Rincon Fundacion Amigos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fundacion Amigos or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Rincon attacking → ← attacking Fundacion Amigos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Rincon scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Fundacion Amigos let in goals in 50% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Deportivo Rincon went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fundacion Amigos lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 19
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sportivo Belgrano1677219:728
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1674515:1025
49 de Julio Rafaela1674526:2325
5Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1665520:1723
6Sportivo Las Parejas1657411:1222
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1646613:1918
9Gimnasia E.R.1644812:1716
10El Linqueno1634911:2013
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Martin Formosa1483324:1727
2Bartolome Mitre1465312:623
3Sol de America1472515:1023
4Sarmiento de La Banda1463514:1421
5Juventud Antoniana1454513:1019
6Defensores de Vilelas1561821:2519
7Boca Unidos1453617:1918
8Tucuman Central1451812:1516
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1456315:1121
3Biblioteca Atenas1463512:1321
4Fundacion Amigos1447317:1419
5Huracan Las Heras1454510:1319
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1445510:1417
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1444612:1516
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alvarado1676319:727
2Kimberley1567214:825
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1467110:425
4Villa Mitre144738:519
5Germinal144647:1118
6Sol de Mayo1445511:1217
7Guillermo Brown1435611:1714
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo141674:149