Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby Academie vs Real Bamako Prediction & H2H Stats

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Derby Academie Logo

Derby Academie

0 - 1
FT
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Derby Academie and Real Bamako finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Derby Academie
30%
Draws
51%
Real Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Bamako carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real Bamako a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 26%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Real Bamako
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.73 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Derby Academie
1:0
Jan 16, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Real Bamako
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 17 / 100
Real Bamako 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Real Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Derby Academie scored in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Bamako conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Derby Academie stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS Real Bamako
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby Academie

(Home)
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
25 May
Real Bamako
1 : 0
Derby Academie
Page 1 of 6

Real Bamako

(Away)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)