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Derby W vs Hull City W

England England

Women's National League North 2025/2026 Don Amott Arena, Derby
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby W in this Women's National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Derby W
15%
Draws
28%
Hull City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hull City W haven't matched Derby W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Derby W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Derby W Clean Sheet 15%
Hull City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Hull City W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Hull City W
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Women's National League North
Hull City W vs Derby W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Hull City W
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Women's National League North
Hull City W vs Derby W
2:4
Apr 17, 2022 Women's National League North
Hull City W vs Derby W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 75 / 100
Hull City W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Hull City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hull City W conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Derby W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Hull City W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Hull City W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
16 Aug
Liverpool Feds W
5 : 1
Derby W
Page 1 of 7

Hull City W

(Away)
20 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Hull City W
13 Sept
Stoke City LFC W
3 : 0
Hull City W
30 Aug
Hull City W
1 : 4
Liverpool Feds W
23 Aug
Hull City W
0 : 2
Norwich W
16 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Hull City W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley W 22 20 2 0 63:5 62
2 Wolverhampton W 22 20 1 1 70:10 61
3 Rugby Borough W 22 12 5 5 43:27 41
4 Stoke City LFC W 22 10 3 9 36:31 33
5 Middlesbrough W 22 8 7 7 29:30 31
6 West Brom W 22 9 4 9 29:31 31
7 Liverpool Feds W 22 7 5 10 44:45 26
8 Derby W 22 6 4 12 18:39 22
9 Hull City W 22 5 5 12 23:54 20
10 Loughborough Lightning W 22 4 7 11 21:43 19
11 Halifax W 22 4 4 14 15:38 16
12 Sporting Khalsa W 22 3 1 18 18:56 10
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