Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup 2024/2025

Derby W

1 - 3

Leafield Athletic W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leafield Athletic W in this Women’s FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Derby W

15%

Draws

51%

Leafield Athletic W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leafield Athletic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Derby W lately — more wins on the board than Leafield Athletic W.
Leafield Athletic W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Derby W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Leafield Athletic W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Leafield Athletic W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derby W	Leafield Athletic W
Matches Played	31	14
Wins	10	7
Draws	4	0
Losses	17	7
Goals Scored	1.16	2.86
Goals Conceded	1.81	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Women’s FA Cup

Derby W vs Leafield Athletic W

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 10 / 100

Leafield Athletic W 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derby W Leafield Athletic W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leafield Athletic W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Derby W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leafield Athletic W conceded in 71% of 14 recent games.

Recent resilience: Derby W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Leafield Athletic W

0.75 Goals Scored 2

2.13 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)

20 Sept

Peterborough W

0 : 3

Derby W

13 Sept

Huddersfield W

2 : 1

Derby W

30 Aug

Derby W

1 : 0

Middlesbrough W

23 Aug

Derby W

0 : 1

Rugby Borough W

16 Aug

Liverpool Feds W

5 : 1

Derby W

Page 1 of 7

Leafield Athletic W

(Away)

14 Dec

Leafield Athletic W

2 : 3

Swindon W

23 Nov

Leafield Athletic W

2 : 1

Worcester W

26 Oct

Leafield Athletic W

8 : 0

Crusaders W

24 Nov

Norwich W

1 : 0

Leafield Athletic W

03 Nov

Derby W

1 : 3

Leafield Athletic W

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Manchester City W -

TBD -

Hashtag W 6

Wroxham W 0

Ipswich W 12

Milton Keynes Dons W 0

Winchester City W 1

Portchester W 4

Saltash United W 0

Bournemouth W 6

Leicester W -

TBD -

Durham Cestria W 4

Norton & Stockton W 0

Curzon Ashton W 0

Chester-Le-Street Town W 1

Stoke City LFC W 5

Hednesford W 0

Loughborough Lightning W 2

Sutton Coldfield Town W 1

Aston Villa W -

TBD -

Oxford Utd W 5

Actonians W 0

AFC Wimbledon W 0

Watford W 1

Bursledon W 0

Marine Academy Plymouth W 4

Bristol Rovers W 4

Sherborne Town W 3

Brighton W -

TBD -

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Durham W -

Cheltenham W 7

Yeovil W 0

Bournemouth Sports W 0

Moneyfields W 1

Cambridge Utd W 0

Norwich W 1

Derby W 1

Leafield Athletic W 3

Asfordby W 1

Wolverhampton W 7

Notts County W 0

Sporting Khalsa W 5

Shrewsbury W 3

Northampton W 2

Sheffield FC W 2

Penrith W 1

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Knowle W 1

West Brom W 7

Stamford W 2

Worcester W 3

St Helens W 2

Doncaster W 1

Cheadle Town W 2

AFC Fylde W 0

Kidderminster W 3

Port Vale W 1

Telford W 1

Stourbridge W 5

TBD -

Blackburn W -

Portsmouth W -

TBD -

Cambridge City W 2

Stevenage W 3

Hutton W 2

Luton W 4

Plymouth W 6

Poole Town W 0

Exeter W 4

Keynsham Town W 0

Aylesford W 3

Reading W 1

Comets W 2

Worthing FC W 5

Sunderland W -

TBD -

Rossington Main W 0

Accrington W 1

Huddersfield W 7

Nantwich W 0

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Charlton W -

TBD -

Lewes W 2

Dulwich Hamlet W 1

Sudbury W 3

Bowers & Pitsea W 0

Everton W -

TBD -

Tottenham W -

Crystal Palace W -

TBD -

South Shields W 4

Halifax W 3

Thornaby W 2

Liverpool Feds W 7

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Washington W 0

Hull City W 7

Wythenshawe FC W 0

Middlesbrough W 3

River City W 2

Long Itchington W 3

Boldmere St Michaels W 1

Nottingham W 3

Burnley W 12

Spennymoor W 0

Preston W 1

Bradford City W 2

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Bristol City W -

Brentford W 4

Ascot United W 2

London Seaward W 3

Hackney W 1

Fulham W 7

Chesham W 0

Royston Town W 3

Newport Pagnell W 0

London City Lionesses W -

TBD -

Gwalia United W 4

Swindon W 1

Torquay W 0

Bridgwater United W 1

Farnham W 0

London Bees W 2

Chatham W 5

Dorking Wanderers W 2

Penn Tylers W 0

QPR W 3

Saltdean United W 2

South London W 1

Rugby Borough W 7

Lincoln W 0

Peterborough W 3

Billericay W 2

Mancunian Unity W 6

Stockport W 2

Handsworth W 2

York City W 0

West Ham W -

TBD -

Liverpool W -

1/64-finals

Manchester City W -

TBD -

Hashtag W 2

Ipswich W 3

Portchester W 0

Bournemouth W 4

Leicester W -

TBD -

Durham Cestria W 1

Chester-Le-Street Town W 2

Stoke City LFC W 4

Loughborough Lightning W 2

Aston Villa W -

TBD -

Oxford Utd W 1

Watford W 0

Marine Academy Plymouth W 0

Bristol Rovers W 4

Brighton W -

TBD -

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Durham W -

Cheltenham W 2

Moneyfields W 1

Norwich W 1

Leafield Athletic W 0

Wolverhampton W 8

Sporting Khalsa W 1

Shrewsbury W 4

Sheffield FC W 3

Manchester United W -

TBD -

West Brom W 6

Worcester W 0

St Helens W 0

Cheadle Town W 4

Kidderminster W 2

Stourbridge W 1

TBD -

Blackburn W -

Portsmouth W -

TBD -

Stevenage W 1

Luton W 2

Plymouth W 1

Exeter W 5

Aylesford W 2

Worthing FC W 3

Sunderland W -

TBD -

Accrington W 1

Huddersfield W 2

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Charlton W -

TBD -

Lewes W 3

Sudbury W 0

Everton W -

TBD -

Tottenham W -

Crystal Palace W -

TBD -

South Shields W 0

Liverpool Feds W 11

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Hull City W 0

Middlesbrough W 1

Long Itchington W 0

Nottingham W 19

Burnley W 11

Bradford City W 0

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Bristol City W -

Brentford W 1

London Seaward W 0

Fulham W 4

Royston Town W 3

London City Lionesses W -

TBD -

Gwalia United W 4

Bridgwater United W 0

London Bees W 3

Chatham W 2

QPR W 5

Saltdean United W 0

Rugby Borough W 7

Peterborough W 1

Mancunian Unity W 4

Handsworth W 0

West Ham W -

TBD -

Liverpool W -

1/32-finals

Manchester City W -

TBD -

Ipswich W 1

Bournemouth W 0

Leicester W -

TBD -

Chester-Le-Street Town W 1

Stoke City LFC W 2

Aston Villa W -

TBD -

Oxford Utd W 2

Bristol Rovers W 3

Brighton W -

TBD -

Birmingham W 0

Durham W 1

Cheltenham W 2

Norwich W 1

Wolverhampton W 14

Shrewsbury W 0

Manchester United W -

TBD -

West Brom W 2

Cheadle Town W 0

Kidderminster W 0

Blackburn W 4

Portsmouth W 5

Luton W 0

Exeter W 3

Worthing FC W 1

Sunderland W 4

Huddersfield W 0

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Charlton W 4

Lewes W 0

Everton W -

TBD -

Tottenham W -

Crystal Palace W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 0

Sheffield Utd W 2

Newcastle Utd W 2

Middlesbrough W 0

Nottingham W 1

Burnley W 0

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Southampton FC W 0

Bristol City W 3

Brentford W 1

Fulham W 2

London City Lionesses W 4

Gwalia United W 0

London Bees W 6

QPR W 3

Rugby Borough W 3

Mancunian Unity W 0

West Ham W -

TBD -

Liverpool W -

1/16-finals

Manchester City W 3

Ipswich W 0

Leicester W 4

Stoke City LFC W 1

Aston Villa W 9

Bristol Rovers W 0

Brighton W 4

Durham W 1

Cheltenham W 0

Wolverhampton W 2

Manchester United W 7

West Brom W 0

Blackburn W 1

Portsmouth W 3

Exeter W 1

Sunderland W 7

Chelsea W 4

Charlton W 0

Everton W 2

Tottenham W 0

Crystal Palace W 6

Sheffield Utd W 1

Newcastle Utd W 1

Nottingham W 0

Arsenal W 5

Bristol City W 0

Fulham W 0

London City Lionesses W 5

London Bees W 0

Rugby Borough W 6

West Ham W 0

Liverpool W 5

1/8-finals

Manchester City W 3

Leicester W 1

Aston Villa W 3

Brighton W 2

Wolverhampton W 0

Manchester United W 6

Portsmouth W 0

Sunderland W 2

Chelsea W 4

Everton W 1

Crystal Palace W 2

Newcastle Utd W 0

Arsenal W 2

London City Lionesses W 0

Rugby Borough W 0

Liverpool W 2

Quarter-finals

Manchester City W 2

Aston Villa W 0

Manchester United W 3

Sunderland W 1

Chelsea W 1

Crystal Palace W 0

Arsenal W 0

Liverpool W 1

Semi-finals

Manchester City W 0

Manchester United W 2

Chelsea W 2

Liverpool W 1

Final

Manchester United W 0

Chelsea W 3

Derby W vs Leafield Athletic W

England

Derby W

Leafield Athletic W

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

Leafield Athletic W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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