Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017

Yesil Bursa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derincespor play Yesil Bursa in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derincespor averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Yesil Bursa averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Derincespor won 2, Yesil Bursa won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 19, 2017 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Derincespor and 1.05 for Yesil Bursa. This points to a Derincespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Derincespor

35%

Draws

26%

Yesil Bursa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derincespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Derincespor picked up more points recently compared to Yesil Bursa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Derincespor Clean Sheet 22%

Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derincespor	Yesil Bursa
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	4
Draws	9	7
Losses	17	21
Goals Scored	0.97	0.78
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Yesil Bursa

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Oct 9, 2016 3. Lig Group 2

Yesil Bursa vs Derincespor

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Mar 7, 2015 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Yesil Bursa

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Oct 18, 2014 3. Lig Group 2

Yesil Bursa vs Derincespor

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Mar 22, 2014 3. Lig Group 1

Derincespor vs Yesil Bursa

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pala T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Yesil Bursa Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdem M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 40 / 100

Yesil Bursa 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derincespor Yesil Bursa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Derincespor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Derincespor attacking → ← attacking Yesil Bursa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Yesil Bursa let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Derincespor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Yesil Bursa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 19

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodrumspor	34	19	8	7	59:31	65
2	Erbaaspor	34	16	12	6	48:29	60
3	Silivrispor	34	16	10	8	34:25	58
4	Manisa FK	34	15	13	6	59:37	58
5	Catalca Spor	34	15	10	9	42:33	55
6	Duzcespor	34	14	12	8	55:46	54
7	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	15	8	11	46:39	53
8	Kirikhanspor	34	12	11	11	36:39	47
9	Kemerspor 2003	34	11	12	11	52:45	45
10	Yomraspor	34	10	14	10	28:29	44
11	Bucaspor 1928	34	11	10	13	41:46	43
12	Batman Petrolspor	34	11	10	13	38:38	43
13	Yesil Bursa	34	11	8	15	40:35	41
14	Dardanelspor	34	11	8	15	42:54	41
15	Pazarspor	34	11	6	17	34:46	39
16	Dersim Spor	34	9	6	19	33:54	33
17	Derincespor	34	5	11	18	31:59	26
18	Kirikkale FK	34	4	11	19	28:61	23