Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City vs Shelbourne

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Fleming B.
27'
Lunney J.
37'
Gannon S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Derry City and Shelbourne finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Derry City
39%
Draws
31%
Shelbourne
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shelbourne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City Shelbourne
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shelbourne
0:0
Apr 17, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Derry City
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shelbourne
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shelbourne
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Derry City
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 41 / 100
Shelbourne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City Shelbourne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Shelbourne let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Derry City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS Shelbourne
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020