Sport Picks
Derry City vs Shelbourne
Ireland
Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 
Match Events
13'
13'
Fleming B.
27'
27'
Lunney J.
37'
37'
Gannon S.
AI Match Summary
The Premier Division game between Derry City and Shelbourne finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Derry City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Derry City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derry City | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Derry City
0:1
May 25, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shelbourne
0:0
Apr 17, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Derry City
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shelbourne
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shelbourne
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derry City 59 / 100
Shelbourne 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derry City Shelbourne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derry City's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Shelbourne let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Derry City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Derry City VS Shelbourne
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Derry City
(Home) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
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18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1 Rijeka
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Shelbourne
(Away) 18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 Shelbourne
28 Aug
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
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18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 Shelbourne
28 Aug
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
06 Aug
Ajax
3 : 1 Shelbourne
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0 Shelbourne
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Galway United | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | 37 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
