Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dersim Spor vs Dardanelspor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Picinciol S.
22' Event
Tuncay A. B.
26' Event
Sari U.

AI Match Summary

Dersim Spor in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dersim Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dersim Spor
6%
Draws
90%
Dardanelspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dardanelspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dersim Spor have won more games recently than Dardanelspor.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dardanelspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dersim Spor Clean Sheet 10%
Dardanelspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dersim Spor Dardanelspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Dersim Spor vs Dardanelspor
3:2
Dec 4, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Dardanelspor vs Dersim Spor
2:1
Mar 19, 2016 3. Lig Group 3
Dersim Spor vs Dardanelspor
1:0
Oct 30, 2015 3. Lig Group 3
Dardanelspor vs Dersim Spor
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dersim Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuncay A. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sari U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dardanelspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Picinciol S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bayram Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dersim Spor 10 / 100
Dardanelspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dersim Spor Dardanelspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dardanelspor conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Dersim Spor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Dersim Spor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dersim Spor VS Dardanelspor
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dersim Spor

(Home)
28 Oct
Dersim Spor
0 : 3
Fethiyespor
17 Sept
Dersim Spor
2 : 0
Sanliurfaspor
03 Sept
Dersim Spor
3 : 0
Adanaspor AS
11 Sept
Dersim Spor
0 : 7
Adiyaman FK
14 Sept
Kelkit Bld.
3 : 0
Dersim Spor
Page 1 of 6

Dardanelspor

(Away)
05 May
Dardanelspor
0 : 2
Ofspor
29 Apr
Hacettepe 1945
3 : 1
Dardanelspor
22 Apr
12 Bingol Spor
0 : 0
Dardanelspor
15 Apr
Dardanelspor
3 : 3
Duzcespor
08 Apr
Iskenderunspor
0 : 0
Dardanelspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)