Sport Picks
Desportiva Aracaju vs Santa Cruz SE
Brazil
Sergipano 2 2024 
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Desportiva Aracaju and Santa Cruz SE finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Aracaju.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Cruz SE haven't matched Desportiva Aracaju's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Desportiva Aracaju taking it.
- Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz SE Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Santa Cruz SE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 16 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Santa Cruz SE
3:1
Sep 8, 2024 Sergipano 2
Santa Cruz SE vs Desportiva Aracaju
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Desportiva Aracaju 36 / 100
Santa Cruz SE 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Desportiva Aracaju Santa Cruz SE
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Desportiva Aracaju scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Santa Cruz SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Santa Cruz SE lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Desportiva Aracaju VS Santa Cruz SE
1.75 Goals Scored 0.6
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Desportiva Aracaju
(Home) 14 Feb
Falcon
2 : 0 Desportiva Aracaju
11 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 3 Lagarto
08 Feb
Guarany SE
2 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
04 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 2 Sergipe
31 Jan
America de Propria
0 : 0 Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 7
11 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 3 Lagarto
04 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 2 Sergipe
22 Jan
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 2 Dorense
10 Jan
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 3 Confianca
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0 America de Pedrinhas
Page 1 of 4
Santa Cruz SE
(Away) 19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0 Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2 Santa Cruz SE
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1 Propria
Page 1 of 4
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0 Santa Cruz SE
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2 Santa Cruz SE
27 Sept
Socorrense
5 : 1 Santa Cruz SE
17 Sept
Coritiba SE
1 : 3 Santa Cruz SE
03 Oct
Cotinguiba
2 : 3 Santa Cruz SE
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
