Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Jaguare

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
6%
Draws
4%
Jaguare
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Desportiva Ferroviaria lately — more wins on the board than Jaguare.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Desportiva Ferroviaria taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Jaguare
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 15 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:2
Jan 27, 2024 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Jaguare
0:0
Apr 17, 2010 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Jaguare
1:2
Mar 6, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:1
Apr 11, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 85 / 100
Jaguare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Jaguare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Jaguare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Desportiva Ferroviaria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 8

Jaguare

(Away)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus18113428:2136
2Rio Branco ES1887335:2131
3Jaguare1893630:2530
4Vilavelhense1884629:2728
5Linhares Futebol Clube1883718:1927
6Desportiva Ferroviaria1864826:2422
7Rio Bananal FC1863922:2621
8GEL18621024:3320
9Serra1854932:3919
10Colatinense18531025:3418
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)