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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2025 Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cassio
30'
Gustavo Toro
31' Event
Joao Guilherme

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Capixaba 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
6%
Draws
4%
Nova Venecia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Nova Venecia.
  • Model gives Desportiva Ferroviaria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Nova Venecia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Nova Venecia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2025 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Capixaba
Nova Venecia vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:0
Apr 10, 2022 Capixaba
Nova Venecia vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:1
Apr 3, 2022 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportiva Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nova Venecia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 95 / 100
Nova Venecia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Nova Venecia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Nova Venecia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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Nova Venecia

(Away)
23 Feb
Vitoria ES
5 : 1
Nova Venecia
16 Feb
Nova Venecia
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
13 Feb
Rio Branco-VN
2 : 0
Nova Venecia
09 Feb
Nova Venecia
2 : 1
Porto Vitoria
06 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
2 : 0
Nova Venecia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Ferroviaria963016:321
2Real Noroeste944113:816
3Rio Branco-VN943210:615
4Capixaba SC942312:1214
5Rio Branco ES935111:614
6Vitoria ES923414:109
7Porto Vitoria92348:119
8Vilavelhense92257:158
9Nova Venecia92257:178
10Jaguare91355:156
Promotion - Capixaba 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 (Main)