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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Tupy

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Campeonato Capixaba 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
6%
Draws
4%
Tupy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Tupy.
  • Win probability leans Desportiva Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Desportiva Ferroviaria have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
Tupy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Tupy
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2019 Capixaba
Tupy vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:1
Jan 27, 2018 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Tupy
3:0
Mar 25, 2017 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Tupy
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 85 / 100
Tupy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Tupy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Tupy let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Desportiva Ferroviaria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS Tupy
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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Tupy

(Away)
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
21 Jul
Sport-ES
5 : 1
Tupy
18 Jul
Tupy
0 : 2
Rive
11 Jul
Tupy
1 : 0
Pinheiros
26 Oct
GEL
1 : 1
Tupy
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serra971116:722
2Real Noroeste953120:1018
3Galatas943213:715
4Rio Branco-VN943216:1115
5Desportiva Ferroviaria935114:814
6CA Itapemirim935114:814
7Vitoria ES93337:912
8Tupy91267:175
9Doze Futebol Clube91178:234
10SAO Mateus90275:202
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2018 (Play Offs)