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Stadium Background

Desportivo Moncao vs SC Mirandela

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Giordano Giuntini Santiago L.
36' Event
Baptista D.
52' Event
Goncalves N.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Desportivo Moncao and SC Mirandela finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Mirandela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Desportivo Moncao
6%
Draws
90%
SC Mirandela
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Mirandela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Mirandela come out ahead of Desportivo Moncao on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SC Mirandela taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 19%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Moncao SC Mirandela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs SC Mirandela
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Desportivo Moncao
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Moncao Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SC Mirandela Compare

Top Goalscorer Giordano Giuntini Santiago L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goncalves N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Moncao 10 / 100
SC Mirandela 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Moncao SC Mirandela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Moncao's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SC Mirandela let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: SC Mirandela has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo Moncao VS SC Mirandela
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Moncao

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
Desportivo Moncao
0 : 5
SC Vianense
04 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Desportivo Moncao
22 Mar
Desportivo Moncao
1 : 4
Chaves B
15 Mar
AD Limianos
4 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
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SC Mirandela

(Away)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)