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Desportivo U20 vs Guarani U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Luiz Guilherme

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2025 game between Desportivo U20 and Guarani U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Desportivo U20
30%
Draws
34%
Guarani U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Desportivo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Desportivo U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guarani U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo U20 Guarani U20
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 23
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Desportivo U20
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Guarani U20
0:1
May 9, 2025 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Guarani U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guarani U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Guilherme
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo U20 36 / 100
Guarani U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo U20 Guarani U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo U20 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Desportivo U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guarani U20 conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo U20 VS Guarani U20
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Palmeiras U204
Sertaozinho U200
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
Bragantino U209
Itapirense U202
Novorizontino U201
Botafogo SP U205
EC Sao Bernardo U202
Internacional de Limeira U201
Uniao Suzano U205
XV de Jau U204
Santos U205
Portuguesa Santista U201
Corinthians U204
Piracicaba U201
Sao Paulo U204
Maua FC U202
Santo Andre U203
Osasco Sporting U206
Ibrachina U2010
Osasco Audax U200
Ferroviaria U206
Mirassol U204
Guarani U203
Desportivo U200
CA Juventus U200
Gremio Prudente U203
Ituano U204
Sao Caetano U200
Ponte Preta U201
Capivariano U200
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U205
Referencia U200
Bragantino U201
Botafogo SP U204
EC Sao Bernardo U203
Uniao Suzano U202
Santos U203
Corinthians U201
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
Ibrachina U200
Ferroviaria U201
Guarani U205
Gremio Prudente U202
Ituano U202
Ponte Preta U203
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Botafogo SP U201
EC Sao Bernardo U201
Santos U207
Sao Paulo U202
Ferroviaria U200
Guarani U203
Ponte Preta U200
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U204
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204
Guarani U201
Final
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204