Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportivo vs XV de Jau

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Vinicius Tavares
90' Event
Ryan Rizardi
90' Event
Gugu Vieira

AI Match Summary

XV de Jau in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored XV de Jau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Desportivo
6%
Draws
90%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • XV de Jau have won more games recently than Desportivo.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on XV de Jau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 21%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo XV de Jau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs XV de Jau
1:2
Feb 12, 2025 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Desportivo
0:0
Sep 24, 2016 Paulista A4
Desportivo vs XV de Jau
4:3
Sep 18, 2016 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Desportivo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Rizardi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

XV de Jau Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Tavares
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gugu Vieira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo 10 / 100
XV de Jau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Desportivo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

XV de Jau let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Desportivo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo VS XV de Jau
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285