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Diarra vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Diarra and Derby Academie finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby Academie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Diarra
28%
Draws
22%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Diarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Derby Academie haven't matched Diarra's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Diarra a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra Derby Academie
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Derby Academie
1:4
Jan 2, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Diarra
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 59 / 100
Derby Academie 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra Derby Academie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Diarra scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Derby Academie let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Away concern: Derby Academie has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS Derby Academie
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316