Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Difai Agsu vs Safa Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Azadov P.
29' Event
Zamanov E.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Aliyev N.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Difai Agsu and Safa Baku finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Safa Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Difai Agsu
6%
Draws
90%
Safa Baku
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Safa Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Safa Baku taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 13%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Difai Agsu Safa Baku
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Safa Baku
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Safa Baku
1:8
Nov 22, 2025 I Liqa
Safa Baku vs Difai Agsu
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Azerbaijan Cup
Safa Baku vs Difai Agsu
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Difai Agsu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yagubzade R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Safa Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Azadov P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aliyev N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Difai Agsu 10 / 100
Safa Baku 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Difai Agsu Safa Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difai Agsu found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Difai Agsu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Safa Baku has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Difai Agsu VS Safa Baku
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Difai Agsu

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
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Safa Baku

(Away)
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Cebrayil
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0
Shimal
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)