Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dila Gori vs Samgurali

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Anoff B.
22'
Gegetchkori L.
28'
Sub
Gegetchkori L. In: Kvaratskhelia L.
Out: Gegetchkori L.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Dila Gori and Samgurali finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samgurali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dila Gori
28%
Draws
50%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Samgurali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Samgurali are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dila Gori have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dila Gori Clean Sheet 13%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dila Gori Samgurali
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:3
Apr 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dila Gori
0:1
Nov 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dila Gori
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Georgian Cup
Samgurali vs Dila Gori
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dila Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Anoff B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shekiladze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Claudio Cebolinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Vianna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dila Gori 22 / 100
Samgurali 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dila Gori Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dila Gori's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samgurali conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Dila Gori went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dila Gori VS Samgurali
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dila Gori

(Home)
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3 : 0
Dila Gori
25 Jul
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 1
Dila Gori
23 Jul
Dila Gori
0 : 4
Apollon Limassol
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Virtus
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Samgurali

(Away)
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3
Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
5 : 3
Samgurali
13 Jun
Samgurali
2 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)