Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Din. Samarkand vs Nurafshon

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016 Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Din. Samarkand in this Pro Liga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Din. Samarkand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Din. Samarkand
35%
Draws
32%
Nurafshon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Din. Samarkand have won more games recently than Nurafshon.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Nurafshon taking it.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 15%
Nurafshon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Samarkand Nurafshon
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 13 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2016 Pro Liga
Nurafshon vs Din. Samarkand
1:6
Jun 26, 2016 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Nurafshon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Samarkand 27 / 100
Nurafshon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Samarkand Nurafshon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurafshon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Din. Samarkand found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (42 games).

Defensive concern: Nurafshon conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Din. Samarkand went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Samarkand VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Samarkand

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
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Nurafshon

(Away)
26 Nov
Istiklol Fergana
2 : 1
Nurafshon
01 Nov
FK Yozyovon
0 : 0
Nurafshon
29 Oct
Norin Haqqulobod
0 : 0
Nurafshon
24 Oct
Nurafshon
6 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
21 Oct
Nurafshon
1 : 0
Aral
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Samarkand 32 26 4 2 86:19 82
2 Norin Haqqulobod 32 24 3 5 63:29 75
3 Sementchi Kuvasoy 32 23 5 4 69:19 74
4 Uz Dong Ju Andijon 32 17 4 11 67:58 55
5 Osiyo Tashkent 32 15 6 11 63:46 51
6 Nasaf Qarshi II 32 15 1 16 61:62 46
7 Xorazm Urganch 32 12 6 14 56:50 42
8 Nurafshon 32 13 2 17 56:61 41
9 Mashal Muborak II 32 11 8 13 46:59 41
10 Aral 32 12 2 18 71:88 38
11 FK Yozyovon 32 11 5 16 58:76 38
12 Zaamin 32 10 6 16 44:59 36
13 Lokomotiv BFK 32 10 5 17 55:66 35
14 Khotira 79 32 10 3 19 51:78 33
15 Gijduvon 32 9 5 18 51:93 32
16 FK Kasansay 32 9 4 19 42:63 31
17 Pakhtakor II 32 7 7 18 49:62 28
18 Oktepa Tashkent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Professional Football League 2017 (Main)
Promotion - Professional Football League 2016 (Relegation)