Sport Picks

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Din. Zagreb vs Thun

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
3 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Labeau B.
Assist: Zoukit N.
21'
Zajc M.
22' Event
Burki M.
Assist: Fehr F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Din. Zagreb advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Din. Zagreb
6%
Draws
4%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Din. Zagreb are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Din. Zagreb have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Din. Zagreb, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 68%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Thun
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 3 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Champions League
Din. Zagreb vs Thun
3:2
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Thun vs Din. Zagreb
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kacavenda L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 95 / 100
Thun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Din. Zagreb scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Thun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Din. Zagreb stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Thun
3 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
28 Jul
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
14 Jul
Din. Zagreb
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
08 Jul
Din. Zagreb
4 : 2
Koper
02 Jul
Grosuplje
0 : 9
Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
28 Jul
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Thun
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun3
Din. Zagreb4
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19990
Slovan Bratislava2
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty0
Aarhus1
Lech Poznan4
Sabah Baku3
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia3
Shamrock Rovers2
KF Egnatia5
Celje6
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Larne0
Crvena zvezda4
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce1
Gornik Zabrze0
Sturm Graz6
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
Mjallby-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Ararat-Armenia-
Celje-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
TBD-
Sturm Graz-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-