Sport Picks

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Din. Zagreb vs Thun

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadion Maksimir
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Din. Zagreb host Thun in the Champions League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Thun have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Din. Zagreb have conceded 0.38 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Din. Zagreb slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 0-0. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Din. Zagreb. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Din. Zagreb
6%
Draws
4%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Din. Zagreb are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Thun
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 22 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Champions League
Din. Zagreb vs Thun
0-0
Apr 12, 2025 Champions League
Thun vs Din. Zagreb
0-1
Mar 12, 2025 Champions League
Din. Zagreb vs Thun
2-1
Feb 12, 2025 Champions League
Thun vs Din. Zagreb
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 Champions League
Din. Zagreb vs Thun
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 85 / 100
Thun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Thun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Din. Zagreb stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Thun
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
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Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
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Hearts-
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Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
Lincoln Red Imps-
Larne-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku-
KuPS-
Klaksvik-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia-
Shamrock Rovers-
Levski Sofia-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
Kairat Almaty-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
H. Beer Sheva-
Iberia 1999-
Slovan Bratislava-
KF Egnatia-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
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Final
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