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Dingnan Ganlian vs Suzhou Dongwu

China China

League One Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jin Qiang
Assist: Zhao S.
28' Event
Tang Shi
Assist: Zhu Jiaxuan
34' Event
Palacios M.
Assist: Gao S.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Dingnan Ganlian and Suzhou Dongwu finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suzhou Dongwu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Dingnan Ganlian
30%
Draws
64%
Suzhou Dongwu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suzhou Dongwu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suzhou Dongwu come out ahead of Dingnan Ganlian on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Suzhou Dongwu's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Dingnan Ganlian Clean Sheet 10%
Suzhou Dongwu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dingnan Ganlian Suzhou Dongwu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Suzhou Dongwu
3:4
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Dingnan Ganlian
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Dingnan Ganlian
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Suzhou Dongwu
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Dingnan Ganlian
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dingnan Ganlian Compare

Top Goalscorer Tang Shi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Suzhou Dongwu Compare

Top Goalscorer Wu Junjie
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jin Qiang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dingnan Ganlian 14 / 100
Suzhou Dongwu 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dingnan Ganlian Suzhou Dongwu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suzhou Dongwu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dingnan Ganlian found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Suzhou Dongwu conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Dingnan Ganlian went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dingnan Ganlian VS Suzhou Dongwu
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dingnan Ganlian

(Home)
19 Sept
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1
Dingnan Ganlian
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4
Suzhou Dongwu
22 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 6

Suzhou Dongwu

(Away)
19 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 2
Suzhou Dongwu
12 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
3 : 2
Foshan Nanshi
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4
Suzhou Dongwu
22 Aug
Guangxi Hengchen
3 : 3
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 24 16 6 2 48:20 54
2 Guangxi Hengchen 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
3 Shenzhen Juniors 24 12 8 4 39:25 44
4 Nantong Zhiyun 24 11 9 4 33:20 42
5 Shaanxi Union 24 10 6 8 38:26 36
6 Yanbian Longding 24 9 8 7 33:27 35
7 Wuxi Wugou 24 9 5 10 36:29 32
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 24 8 7 9 22:25 31
9 Changchun Yatai 24 10 3 11 37:40 29
10 Ningbo Professional 24 9 5 10 27:30 29
11 Dalian Kun City 24 7 8 9 30:36 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 24 7 8 9 28:33 26
13 Dingnan Ganlian 24 4 11 9 35:46 23
14 Nanjing City 24 5 6 13 20:33 21
15 Meizhou Hakka 24 7 3 14 25:50 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 24 2 7 15 24:49 13
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)