Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Dire Dawa and Ethiopian Insurance finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Dire Dawa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Dire Dawa haven't matched Ethiopian Insurance's recent run of results.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Dire Dawa taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ethiopian Insurance have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Dire Dawa Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dire Dawa | Ethiopian Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa
1:0
Feb 10, 2025 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:3
May 17, 2024 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dire Dawa 86 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dire Dawa Ethiopian Insurance
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ethiopian Insurance conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Dire Dawa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Ethiopian Insurance registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dire Dawa VS Ethiopian Insurance
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dire Dawa
(Home) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
15 May
Dire Dawa
0 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
05 May
Dire Dawa
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopian Insurance
(Away) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
26 May
Sidama Bunna
3 : 2 Ethiopian Insurance
15 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
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