Sport Picks

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Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Abdulameer S.

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Diyala
28%
Draws
50%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Quwa Al Jawiya lately — more wins on the board than Diyala.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Al Quwa Al Jawiya taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Diyala Clean Sheet 13%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyala Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Oct 30, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala
2:1
Apr 16, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala
1:1
May 30, 2010 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diyala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulameer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyala 22 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyala Al Quwa Al Jawiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diyala scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Diyala has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diyala VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyala

(Home)
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
11 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Diyala
Page 1 of 6

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)