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Djurgarden vs Elfsborg Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Stensson D.
44' Event
Wikstrom R.
46'
Sub
Aslund P. In: Fallenius O.
Out: Aslund P.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Djurgarden and Elfsborg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elfsborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Djurgarden
15%
Draws
36%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Elfsborg haven't matched Djurgarden's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Djurgarden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Elfsborg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 19%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden Elfsborg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.21 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Elfsborg
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Djurgarden
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Elfsborg
1:0
May 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Djurgarden
4:0
Nov 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Djurgarden vs Elfsborg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Une J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Elfsborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Wikstrom R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 85 / 100
Elfsborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Elfsborg has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Djurgarden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS Elfsborg
3 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
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Elfsborg

(Away)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)