Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djurgarden vs Mjallby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lien K.
Assist: Hegland B.
14' Event
Lien K.
26' Event
Aslund P.
Assist: Hegland B.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Djurgarden and Mjallby finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Djurgarden
20%
Draws
11%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Djurgarden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Djurgarden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 20%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden Mjallby
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.45 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Djurgarden
0:2
Aug 31, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Mjallby
4:0
Aug 17, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Djurgarden
1:1
May 15, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Mjallby
1:3
Feb 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Djurgarden
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lien K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aslund P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Mjallby Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 85 / 100
Mjallby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Mjallby has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Djurgarden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS Mjallby
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Mjallby

(Away)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)