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Doce Mel W vs AD Astro W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel W in this Baiano Women 2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Doce Mel W
15%
Draws
78%
AD Astro W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Astro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Doce Mel W lately — more wins on the board than AD Astro W.
  • Win probability leans AD Astro W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Doce Mel W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Doce Mel W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 18%
AD Astro W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel W AD Astro W
Matches Played 34 17
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 0
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.44 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs AD Astro W
2:1
Oct 19, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs AD Astro W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel W 10 / 100
AD Astro W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel W AD Astro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Astro W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Doce Mel W scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

AD Astro W let in goals in 59% of their last 17 matches.

Doce Mel W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel W VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel W

(Home)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
Page 1 of 7

AD Astro W

(Away)
16 Sept
Vitoria W
1 : 0
AD Astro W
10 Sept
AD Astro W
2 : 1
Vitoria W
02 Sept
AD Astro W
3 : 0
Jacuipense W
26 Aug
Alagoinhas W
1 : 2
AD Astro W
23 Aug
AD Astro W
7 : 0
Redencao W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Doce Mel W 2
AD Astro W 1
Bahia W 5
Vitoria W 2
Final
Doce Mel W 0
Bahia W 4