Sport Picks
Dodoma Jiji vs Kinondoni MC
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Jamhuri Stadium, Dodoma 
Match Events
34'
34'
Sub
Athuman S. In: Chibada O.
Out: Athuman S.
43'
43'
Kayanda F.
Assist: Kibuta M.
45'
45'
Majogoro B.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Dodoma Jiji and Kinondoni MC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dodoma Jiji.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dodoma Jiji
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Dodoma Jiji carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Dodoma Jiji taking it.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 68%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dodoma Jiji | Kinondoni MC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Kinondoni MC
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Dodoma Jiji
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Dodoma Jiji
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Kinondoni MC
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Kinondoni MC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dodoma Jiji Compare
Top Goalscorer Kayanda F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kipagwile I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Kinondoni MC Compare
Top Goalscorer Chambo R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dodoma Jiji 95 / 100
Kinondoni MC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dodoma Jiji Kinondoni MC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dodoma Jiji Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kinondoni MC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Kinondoni MC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Dodoma Jiji scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Dodoma Jiji VS Kinondoni MC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Dodoma Jiji
(Home) 11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
24 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 3
Kinondoni MC
(Away) 30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 TRA United
Page 1 of 6
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
25 May
Azam
3 : 0 Kinondoni MC
14 May
Mtibwa Sugar
4 : 3 Kinondoni MC
30 Apr
JKT Tanzania
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
