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Dominican Republic U20 vs Iraq U20

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic U20 play Iraq U20 in the Friendly International 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dominican Republic U20 averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Iraq U20 averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Dominican Republic U20 won 0, Iraq U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Dominican Republic U20 and 0.63 for Iraq U20. This points to a Iraq U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dominican Republic U20
15%
Draws
48%
Iraq U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iraq U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic U20 picked up more points recently compared to Iraq U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Dominican Republic U20 Clean Sheet 29%
Iraq U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic U20 Iraq U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.23 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Friendly International
Dominican Republic U20 vs Iraq U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer More B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamarez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Iraq U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayoob Jameel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic U20 39 / 100
Iraq U20 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic U20 Iraq U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraq U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominican Republic U20 attacking → ← attacking Iraq U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Iraq U20 let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dominican Republic U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Iraq U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 50
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75