Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dominican Republic vs El Salvador

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Firpo J.
62' Event
Ordaz N.
79' Event
Ordaz N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONCACAF Series matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dominican Republic
30%
Draws
34%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dominican Republic lately — more wins on the board than El Salvador.
  • Model gives Dominican Republic a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 20%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic El Salvador
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Dominican Republic vs El Salvador
2:2
Nov 19, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Dominican Republic
2:0
Sep 10, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs El Salvador
1:0
Aug 30, 2014 Friendly International
El Salvador vs Dominican Republic
2:0
Oct 7, 2011 World Championship
Dominican Republic vs El Salvador
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Firpo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

El Salvador Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordaz N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 36 / 100
El Salvador 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic El Salvador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: El Salvador conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dominican Republic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic VS El Salvador
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominican Republic

(Home)
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
27 Mar
Dominican Republic
2 : 2
El Salvador
18 Nov
Dominican Republic
0 : 0
Martinique
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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El Salvador

(Away)
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
El Salvador
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
04 Jun
South Korea
1 : 0
El Salvador
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