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Don Alvaro vs RCP Valverdeno Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Rodriguez Venegas J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

RCP Valverdeno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RCP Valverdeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Don Alvaro
15%
Draws
73%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RCP Valverdeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RCP Valverdeno lately — more wins on the board than Don Alvaro.
  • RCP Valverdeno are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 18%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Alvaro RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs RCP Valverdeno
0:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Don Alvaro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Alvaro 12 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Alvaro RCP Valverdeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RCP Valverdeno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RCP Valverdeno has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: RCP Valverdeno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Don Alvaro scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Don Alvaro VS RCP Valverdeno
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Alvaro

(Home)
26 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
20 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
10 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2
Don Alvaro
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Don Alvaro
Page 1 of 6

RCP Valverdeno

(Away)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)