Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013

Ciduad de Plasencia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Don Benito play Ciduad de Plasencia in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013. Don Benito are favorites here. Recently, Don Benito averaged 2.15 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Ciduad de Plasencia averaged 0.81 goals scored and 3.39 conceded. In past meetings, Don Benito won 5, Ciduad de Plasencia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 4, 2014 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Don Benito and 0.75 for Ciduad de Plasencia. This points to a Don Benito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%

Don Benito

15%

Draws

10%

Ciduad de Plasencia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Don Benito picked up more points recently compared to Ciduad de Plasencia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Don Benito Clean Sheet 27%

Ciduad de Plasencia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Don Benito	Ciduad de Plasencia
Matches Played	46	31
Wins	29	2
Draws	10	2
Losses	7	27
Goals Scored	2.15	0.81
Goals Conceded	0.65	3.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Ciduad de Plasencia vs Don Benito

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Aug 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito vs Ciduad de Plasencia

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito vs Ciduad de Plasencia

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Ciduad de Plasencia vs Don Benito

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito vs Ciduad de Plasencia

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 73 / 100

Ciduad de Plasencia 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Don Benito Ciduad de Plasencia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)

Secondary Pick Don Benito & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +11.7%

1.49

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Don Benito attacking → ← attacking Ciduad de Plasencia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 87% of their last 46 games.

Ciduad de Plasencia let in goals in 100% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Don Benito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ciduad de Plasencia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

97 Points in last 5 8

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Extremadura UD	38	27	8	3	75:14	89
2	UD Badajoz	38	24	8	6	67:24	80
3	Don Benito	38	23	10	5	55:23	79
4	Diter Zafra	38	22	11	5	57:23	77
5	Jerez CF	38	16	11	11	51:37	59
6	Merida UD	38	15	11	12	47:38	56
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	15	10	13	50:38	55
8	UP Plasencia	38	15	10	13	55:47	55
9	Santa Amalia	38	15	8	15	52:54	53
10	CD Coria	38	14	9	15	47:48	51
11	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	14	6	18	44:58	48
12	Pueblonuevo	38	11	10	17	41:60	43
13	Miajadas	38	12	7	19	40:56	43
14	RCP Valverdeno	38	11	9	18	40:56	42
15	Hernan Cortes	38	11	8	19	36:64	41
16	Cacereno II	38	10	10	18	48:57	40
17	Fuente de Cantos	38	10	9	19	42:68	39
18	Moralo	38	7	17	14	33:52	38
19	Emerita Augusta	38	8	7	23	44:77	31
20	Valdelacalzada	38	7	7	24	35:65	28