Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doncaster vs Bradford City

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Gotts R.
39' Event
Wright T.
Assist: Richards L.
46'
Sub
Middleton G. In: Broadbent G.
Out: Middleton G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Doncaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Doncaster
30%
Draws
47%
Bradford City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Bradford City have managed 1.88 goals a game lately — Doncaster are scoring more at 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bradford City taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Doncaster, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Doncaster here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 16%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Bradford City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Doncaster
1:0
Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Bradford City
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Bradford City
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 League Two
Doncaster vs Bradford City
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 League Two
Bradford City vs Doncaster
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hanlan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bradford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 10 / 100
Bradford City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Bradford City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Doncaster scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Bradford City conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Doncaster remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Bradford City
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
01 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 1
Lincoln City
29 Jul
Doncaster
0 : 2
Wolves
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0
Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2
Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

Bradford City

(Away)
01 Aug
Salford
2 : 2
Bradford City
29 Jul
Bradford City
3 : 2
Preston
24 Jul
Gmunden
0 : 4
Bradford City
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
11 Jul
Halifax
1 : 6
Bradford City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)