This match ends 3-1, with Doncaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
Doncaster
30%
Draws
47%
Bradford City
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: Bradford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Very High Confidence
Bradford City have managed 1.88 goals a game lately — Doncaster are scoring more at 2.
90% — that's where the model lands on Bradford City taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Doncaster, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Doncaster here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)70.6%
Doncaster Clean Sheet16%
Bradford City Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Doncaster
Bradford City
Matches Played
29
31
Wins
14
14
Draws
5
5
Losses
10
12
Goals Scored
2
1.88
Goals Conceded
1
0.88
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.00
0.88
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026League One
Bradford CityvsDoncaster
1:0
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
DoncastervsBradford City
3:1
Sep 6, 2025League One
DoncastervsBradford City
3:1
Apr 26, 2025League Two
DoncastervsBradford City
2:1
Oct 26, 2024League Two
Bradford CityvsDoncaster
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Top GoalscorerGibson J.
2 Goals
Assists LeaderHanlan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.54
Avg xA / game1
Bradford City Compare
Top GoalscorerWright T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.71
Avg xA / game1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster10 / 100
Bradford City83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Bradford City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickBRA Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Doncaster scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Bradford City conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Doncaster remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.