Sport Picks
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan 
Match Events
9'
9'
Villaseca D.
Assist: Jimenez L.
22'
22'
Cervantes S.
31'
31'
Cervantes S.
Assist: Pena F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Dorados de Sinaloa and Tapatio finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorados de Sinaloa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tapatio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tapatio come out ahead of Dorados de Sinaloa on wins alone.
- Tapatio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 12%
Tapatio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorados de Sinaloa | Tapatio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Dorados de Sinaloa
4:1
Feb 8, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Dorados de Sinaloa
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorados de Sinaloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Cervantes S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coronel O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Tapatio Compare
Top Goalscorer Villaseca D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorados de Sinaloa 19 / 100
Tapatio 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorados de Sinaloa Tapatio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tapatio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tapatio conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Dorados de Sinaloa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Tapatio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dorados de Sinaloa VS Tapatio
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Home) 31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
25 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 5 Piratas
17 Oct
Correcaminos
1 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 5 Piratas
11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
Page 1 of 3
Tapatio
(Away) 01 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1 Tapatio
25 Oct
Tapatio
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
18 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
5 : 0 Tapatio
13 Oct
Tapatio
4 : 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos
09 Oct
Tapatio
2 : 4 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1 Tapatio
18 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
5 : 0 Tapatio
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancun | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
