Sport Picks
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan 
Match Events
9'
9'
Villaseca D.
Assist: Jimenez L.
22'
22'
Cervantes S.
31'
31'
Cervantes S.
Assist: Pena F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Dorados de Sinaloa and Tapatio finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorados de Sinaloa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tapatio come out ahead of Dorados de Sinaloa on wins alone.
- Dorados de Sinaloa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 15%
Tapatio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorados de Sinaloa | Tapatio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Dorados de Sinaloa
4:1
Feb 8, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Dorados de Sinaloa
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tapatio
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorados de Sinaloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Cervantes S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coronel O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Tapatio Compare
Top Goalscorer Villaseca D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorados de Sinaloa 48 / 100
Tapatio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorados de Sinaloa Tapatio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dorados de Sinaloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tapatio conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Dorados de Sinaloa scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Dorados de Sinaloa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dorados de Sinaloa VS Tapatio
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Home) 16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
29 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
20 Aug
Venados FC
4 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
29 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
07 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 4
Tapatio
(Away) 13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
15 Aug
Correcaminos
2 : 3 Tapatio
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
15 Aug
Correcaminos
2 : 3 Tapatio
08 Aug
Venados FC
3 : 2 Tapatio
03 Jul
Club Leon
4 : 2 Tapatio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Piratas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Cancun | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 8 | Venados FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:19 | 13 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18:18 | 12 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Alacranes de Durango | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 11 |
| 12 | Jaiba Brava | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
