Sport Picks
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Dorados, Culiacán 
Match Events
34'
34'
Islas O.
40'
40'
Dominguez I.
41'
41'
Ramirez F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Dorados de Sinaloa and Tepatitlan de Morelos finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tepatitlan de Morelos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dorados de Sinaloa haven't matched Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tepatitlan de Morelos's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 13%
Tepatitlan de Morelos Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorados de Sinaloa | Tepatitlan de Morelos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Dorados de Sinaloa
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Dorados de Sinaloa
1:1
Jan 12, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Dorados de Sinaloa
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorados de Sinaloa 27 / 100
Tepatitlan de Morelos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorados de Sinaloa Tepatitlan de Morelos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tepatitlan de Morelos conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Dorados de Sinaloa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Dorados de Sinaloa scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Dorados de Sinaloa VS Tepatitlan de Morelos
1.2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Home) 18 Apr
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
03 Apr
Tlaxcala
2 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
29 Mar
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 1 Correcaminos
21 Mar
Atlante
2 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
15 Mar
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
29 Mar
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 1 Correcaminos
15 Mar
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Leones Negros
21 Feb
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
08 Feb
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 3
Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Away) 31 May
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Tepatitlan de Morelos
24 May
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
17 May
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
10 May
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
04 May
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 8
31 May
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Tepatitlan de Morelos
10 May
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
01 May
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos
23 Apr
Atlante
2 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
11 Apr
Atletico La Paz
1 : 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)