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Dorostol vs Svetkavitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Sat, May 23, 2026
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dorostol host Svetkavitsa in the Third League - North-East 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Dorostol at 0.87 goals for, 2.37 against; Svetkavitsa at 0.2 for, 3.67 against. Head-to-head, Dorostol have won 5 to Svetkavitsa's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 2.19) point toward Dorostol. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dorostol
15%
Draws
0%
Svetkavitsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dorostol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dorostol have won more games recently than Svetkavitsa.
  • Dorostol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dorostol have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorostol Svetkavitsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 21 29
Goals Scored 0.87 0.2
Goals Conceded 2.37 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Svetkavitsa
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dorostol
1:3
May 31, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Dorostol
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Svetkavitsa
3:2
May 19, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Svetkavitsa
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorostol 47 / 100
Svetkavitsa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorostol Svetkavitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorostol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svetkavitsa has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Svetkavitsa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Dorostol scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Dorostol VS Svetkavitsa
1 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorostol

(Home)
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
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Svetkavitsa

(Away)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)