Sport Picks
Dortmund vs Ath Bilbao
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund 
Match Events
28'
28'
Svensson D.
Assist: Adeyemi K.
43'
43'
Paredes A.
46'
46'
Sub
Williams I. In: Guruzeta G.
Out: Williams I.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Dortmund and Ath Bilbao finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
- Dortmund are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Ath Bilbao have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 68%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dortmund | Ath Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2025 Champions League
Dortmund vs Ath Bilbao
4:1
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Dortmund vs Ath Bilbao
0:2
Aug 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Dortmund vs Ath Bilbao
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Svensson D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chukwuemeka C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Ath Bilbao Compare
Top Goalscorer Guruzeta G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dortmund 95 / 100
Ath Bilbao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dortmund Ath Bilbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dortmund's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Dortmund went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Ath Bilbao has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Dortmund VS Ath Bilbao
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dortmund
(Home) 12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
22 Aug
Dortmund
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
15 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 2 AS Roma
Page 1 of 3
Ath Bilbao
(Away) 12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3 Sevilla
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
