Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Silva F.
Assist: Guirassy S.
31'
31'
Guirassy S.
39'
39'
Ulrich L.
AI Match Summary
Dortmund in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dortmund.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dortmund lately — more wins on the board than Paderborn.
- Win probability leans Dortmund's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 20%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dortmund | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Paderborn
3:0
Oct 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Dortmund vs Paderborn
0:3
Feb 2, 2021 DFB Pokal
Dortmund vs Paderborn
3:2
Aug 28, 2020 Club Friendly
Dortmund vs Paderborn
1:1
May 31, 2020 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Dortmund
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Nmecha F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Silva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Paderborn Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dortmund 67 / 100
Paderborn 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dortmund Paderborn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dortmund found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Dortmund stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Paderborn has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dortmund VS Paderborn
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dortmund
(Home) 31 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2 Dortmund
27 Oct
Dortmund
3 : 2 Werder Bremen
24 Oct
Dortmund
1 : 0 Eintracht Frankfurt
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2 Dortmund
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Dortmund
3 : 2 Werder Bremen
24 Oct
Dortmund
1 : 0 Eintracht Frankfurt
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2 Werder Bremen
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
Page 1 of 3
Paderborn
(Away) 31 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
0 : 0 Paderborn
28 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
24 Oct
Paderborn
1 : 0 Hamburger
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
0 : 0 Paderborn
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1 Paderborn
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
